Resolution
of the First International Black Sea Economic Cooperation (BSEC) International
Workshop on Seismology held in Krasnodar (Russia) on 17-18 May 2000
The
participants of the First BSEC International Workshop on the problems
of seismicity in the Black Sea and Balkan Region representing seismological
and earthquake engineering organizations and specialists dealing
with consequences of natural catastrophes and technological hazards
from Albania, Armenia, Azerbaijan, Bulgaria, Georgia, Greece, Moldova,
Romania, Russia, Ukraine in close cooperation with Association of
seismological institutions of the USA and other organizations considered:
- problems of the
Black Sea and Balkan region seismicity;
- methods of forecasting
and preventing seismological disasters and the elimination of their
consequences, including seismological constructing means;
- technical means,
devices and equipment at the disposal of seismic services as well
as the economic state;
The
participants of the Workshop state that the Governments of the BSEC
member states are concerned with seismic situation in their region,
which causes heavy material damages and human losses, and that they
provide assistance to seismological institutes and organizations.
A
number of countries have achieved the significant results in this
field. They were announced by the members of the workshop. Their
brief description is given hereafter.
Albania
Seismological
Institute of Academy of Science of Albania is the only Research
Institute in Albania dealing with studies on Seismicity, Seismic
Construction and Earthquake Engineering. There are 13 permanent
seismological station installed in the country, a strong motion
network of about 30 strong motion accelerographs, which need to
be renovated with new technology. For a moment the work for the
installation of a telemetred local network around Tirana and a new
network of 7 stations with telephone link is going on.
During the last 20 years studies on seismic microzoning were carried
out for some important cities and town of the country as: Tirana
City (capital) (1988), Vlora City (1984), Durres City (1985, 1989),
Shkodra City (1986), Korca City (1989), the town of Pogradeci (1990),
the town of Fieri (1991), Tirana - Vore - Durres corridor (1998).
According
to the law on urban planning, the Seismological Institute is performing
engineering - seismological studies for sites under construction
of the buildings higher than 8 stories and important structures.
Concerning
the emergency situations they are under responsibilities of Directory
for Emergency situations in the Ministry of Local Powers.
Armenia
The Armenian National Survey for Seismic Protection (NSSP) has achieved
significant achievements in the field of seismic risk reduction.
The
main of them are:
- development of
the seismic risk reduction programme, including all the elements
of seismic protection;
- seismic hazard
assessment in the 1:1000000 scale for the Crimea-Caicasus-Kopetdagh
test areas (the works were carried out within the GSHAP framework;
INTAS grant No. 94-1644, in collaboration with seismic organizations
of Azerbaijan, Czech Republic, Georgia, Germany, Greece, Iran, Italy,
Russia, Switzerland, Turkey, Turkmenistan, the Ukraine);
- seismic hazard
assessment for the territory of Armenia at 1:500,000 scale according
to international standards;
- seismic risk assessment
for the territory of Armenia;
- participation in
the development of new earthquake engineering codes together with
the Ministry of Urban Planning of Armenia and other Armenian organizations;
- development, testing
and practical implementation of improving new methods of seismic
resistance improvement of existing buildings without evacuating
of tenants from buildings in earthquake zone with the assistance
of Ministry of Urban Planning (World Bank credits);
- development and
step by step realization of the population and the State Government
bodies preparedness programme for the activities before, during
and after the earthquake;
- creation of a multiparameter
observation network consisting of more then 150 observation stations
for monitoring lithosphere that are integrated to the global networks;
- development of
new technology of seismic hazard assessment that includes new methods
of observation, data processing and analyses;
- early warning system
development.
Azerbaijan
The organizations of the Academy of Science, State Committee on
Construction, State Committee on Geology, and Oil Concern deal with
problems of seismology and earthquake-proof in Azerbaijan. Monitoring
of seismic activity of the whole territory is being carried out,
the reaction of constructions on seismic influences is being studied,
high earthquake proof constructions and special measures for reducing
of earthquake shocks influence on erecting buildings are carried
out.
Bulgaria
The
main activities of the Central Laboratory for Seismic Mechanics
and Earthquake Engineering Bulgarian Academy of Sciences Seismic
risk assessment of urban areas, buildings and structures.
- Monitoring of strong
ground motions.
- Reducing the devastating
effects of the earthquakes.
- Elaboration of
standard documents for design and construction in seismic regions.
The
main activities of the Geophysical Institute of Bulgarian Academy
of Sciences
- Monitoring of the
local, regional and global seismicity.
- Investigations
in the field of seismic zoning and earthquake hazard.
- Research about
the physics of the earthquake source, wave propagation and deep
earth's structure.
- Students and people
education for earthquake preparedness and prevention activities.
- Modeling and estimations
of the earthquake losses.
Georgia
Georgian
Institutes of Academy of Science and non-governmental organizations
dealing with problems of seismicity pay much attention to the detailed
study of seismic processes, seismic hazard and risk assessment,
earthquake prediction, seismic microzonation, taking into account
non-linear and non-elastic properties, creation of new National
Building Codes and use of new technologies (GIS, remote sensing
etc.).
Greece
Greece and the surrounding Aegean area have the highest seismic
activity in the whole western Eurasia. To face the needs for seismic
risk mitigation, the Geophysical Laboratory of the Aristotle University
of Thessaloniki, Greece, (GLAUTh), has made significant progress
towards long term earthquake forecasting. A - Time dependent seismicity
model has been proposed and applied in almost all areas of the world
where strong earthquakes occur. More detailed studied and application
of this model in the BSEC countries will result to pinpointing the
regions which exhibit the highest probability for the generation
of strong earthquakes in the next few years, thus facilitating the
authorities to take precaution measures.
Considerable
progress has also been made by GLAUTh towards intermediate - term
earthquake prediction by studying the accelerating preshock crustal
deformation. Finally, a procedure has been proposed for evaluating
the evolution of a seismic excitation. This procedure can be used
to identify whether a seismic sequence is or is not normally evolving
and to define as well those parts of the fault where the larger
earthquakes during the seismic sequence will occur.
Moldova
The main activities:
Upgrading and developing of national seismic network in view of
receiving of digital records. Utilization of GIS technologies in
seismic hazard and risk assessment. Seismic microzonation of major
cities involving GIS tools. Bringing national codes in compatibility
with 8 Eurocode standards.
Romania
Romania carried out:
- Seismic zoning
of the territory of Romania according to new scale of seismic intensities;
- Seismic hazard
assessment of the territory of Romania;
- Seismic microzonation
of the territory;
- Seismic risk assessment;
- Seismic risk assessment
associated with industrial explosions;
- Earthquakes forcasting
through statistical and deterministic methods;
- Earthquake engineering;
- Study of Earth's
crust;
- Development and
upgrading of national digital seismic network;
Russia
The
Russian Academy of Science as well as the corresponding services
pay particular attention to the problems of seismology in Russia.
The session of the Russian Academy presidium which brought forward
a number of valuable recommendations was held in March, 2000.
According
to the Federal seismology monitoring programme the Russian Federation
is involved in the following:
- the study of dynamic
processes which affect seismicity in seismically unstable regions
of the country;
- the development
of methods and means for earthquake forecasting and seismic activity;
- the development
and introduction of earthquake-proof construction methods;
- the development
of methods for research, monitoring and control over faultline environmental
condition and its seismicity;
- the transition
to digital means of registering seismicity and data base transfer.
The resolution "About the Special Programme for Complex Seismic
Monitoring and Earthquake
Forecast
in Krasnodar Territory in 2000 - 2004" was approved at the Territorial
Legislative Committee.
A
special project of complex seismic monitoring programme and North
Caucasus earthquake forecast was presented at the Council meeting
of the Association of Southern Russia. A petition for involving
the Russian government in the problem of the seismic condition in
Northern Caucasus has been adopted.
For
development of forward-looking research in the sphere of seismology
there were offered contests of scientific projects, which are co-financed
by Central Funds, Ministries and the regions. An example of it is
the programme of the Ministry of Education of Russian Federation
"Education, Science and Culture of Northern Caucasus and BSEC countries".
Special
attention in Krasnodar territory is paid to interaction of seismic
services with scientific establishments, with Kuban State University
in particular, where the Council for Earthquake prognosis was transferred
as well as the other services of this kind.
Russia
has unique research equipment at its disposal, such as heavy vibroseismic
installation TV-100, and there is no analogous equipment of this
type in the world. With its help a number of new technologies was
developed including the use of directional seismic antennas. A scientific
discovery was made.
The complex "Strela" ("Arrow") developed in the Agency under the
Ministry of Emergency Situations of Russian Federation and designed
for the evaluation of the conditions of buildings and constructions
subjected to earthquakes is gaining popularity finding application
abroad.
Ukraine
On the territory of Ukraine seismic research aimed at protecting
population and providing the stable development of seismic regions
is being held by National Academy of Science (Ukraine), Ministry
of Emergency Situations (Ukraine), State system of Ukraine, Ministry
of Ecoresources (Ukraine) and National Space Agency in the framework
of state scientific and technological programme. Functioning and
development of national seismic observation system and the increase
of the security of population living in seismically dangerous regions,
is approved by the resolution of the Cabinet of Ukraine of 28.06.97
#699
The
main directions for the work to be carried out are:
- to study seismicity;
- to carry out works
on detail seismic zoning of the territories of the potential seismic
risk;
- to carry out a
number of activities and to map general seismic zoning of Ukraine;
- to study the dynamic
parameters of seismic influence and to forecast the seismic influence
on the certain areas;
- to work out the
methods of mid - and short - terms earthquake forecast and seismic
risk;
- to work out and
to introduce of perspective methods of seismically stable modeling;
- to work out the
methods of distant formed state of environment;
- to work out and
transmission digital technological means for registration of earthquakes
and corresponding physical areas and to provide data installation
and transmission.
The
participants of the Workshop came to the following conclusions:
Taking
into consideration that such natural disasters as earthquakes and
their symptoms do not have just local character, their forecasting
can be carried out only by means of large-scale monitoring on a
vast territory.
Effective
exchange of seismic information between all the BSEC countries that
conduct research in the field of seismology is required.
It
is necessary to apply and develop new methods in seismological research
like the assessment of seismic risk, searching for ways of its reduction
and mitigation.
The
members of the workshop highly appreciated the noble action of the
Russian side on providing an opportunity of the mutual disposal
of hard vibroseismic sources TV - 100 in their researches and expressed
their interest to this suggestion.
Profound
studies in the field of earthquake engineering are required which
would guarantee the safety of people during earthquakes of high
magnitude. If, for instance, certain regions can accurately be defined
which exhibit high probabilities for generation of strong earthquakes
during the next several years, it is essential to find low cost
methods for supporting old constructions and buildings, especially
those where a large number of people live and work (industrial plants,
hospitals, schools, etc). It is also necessary to study and develop
methods of prevention and effective elimination of earthquake consequences,
and of assessing the condition of constructions and buildings that
have undergone the impact of disasters.
The
resolution adopted by the Workshop provides for cooperation in the
sphere of seismic information exchange, scientific, technical and
other achievements being used for forecasting future earthquakes
and their consequences.
The
participants unanimously decided to establish the Association
of Seismic Protection of the BSEC Countries and Balkan Region
and agreed:
- to consider in
general the draft of the Association's Charter suggested by the
Working Group of the Workshop;
- to get the Charter's
approval by the participant countries on the governmental level.
It
was suggested that the participants should submit the corrected
draft to the Organizing Committee of the First International BSEC
Workshop on Seismology and Seismic Risk Mitigation in the Black
Sea and Balkan Region after having dicussed it in their countries.
The
Chairman of the Organizing Committee Academician V. Babeshko has
been requested to summarize all the proposed amendments and changes
to the draft of the Charter, to finalize it and to send the draft
of the Charter to the participants of the Workshop for the approval
on the governmental level.
It was stressed that the successful functioning of a future Association
will need active support of the governments of the BSEC member-states
through promoting projects of mutual interest and benefit, following
the dicussion of all final results in their own countries, including
the amendments to the Charter, according to the agreement of all
members, the second International Workshop will take place after
approvals of the Charter on the governmental level of the participant
countries. Its date will be arranged later. All issues of functioning
Assosiation and the spesific programme of actions will be resolved
at the workshop.
Delegations
of BSEC countries, which have taken place in the First International
Workshop on Seismology, expressed their gratitude to the Ministry
of Science and Technology of Russian Federation, the Ministry of
Education of Russian Federation, the Russian Academy of Science,
the Administration of the Krasnodar Territory, the Kuban State University
(the Russian - American project REC - 004), the International Center
of Black Sea Studies (Greece) for the support of the workshop and
also to the Ministry of Foreign Affairs of Russian Federation for
the efficient assistance in providing visas for the participants
of the workshop.
The
Organizing Committee of the First International Workshop on Seismology
and Seismic Risk Mitigation in the Black Sea and Balkan Region
received greetings and communications from the following institutions:
- Deputy Minister
of Science and Technologies of the Russian Federation;
- The Association
of the Institutes of Seismology (USA);
- Consortium of the
Association of the Institutes of Seismology of the USA;
- Observatories and
Research Facilities for European Seismology (ORFEUS), Netherlands;
- O.Y. Shmidt United
Institute of Earth Physics of the Russian Academy of Science;
- The Institute of
Seismic Research and Observations (Turkey);
- Central Asian Technical
University (Turkey).
Organizing
Committee of the First BSEC International Workshop on Seismology
Russian
Analytical Center of BSEC
attached to Kuban State University:
Tel./ (8612) - 699568
Tel./fax (8612) - 6999546;
E-mail: BSEC_REC@KUBSU.RU
crdf@kubsu.ru
Stavropolskaya, 149 Krasnodar, Russia 350040
©1998 Кубанский Государственный Университет - ЦИ
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